Geopolitical Predictive Analysis – March 2019

May 19

Unrest in Sudan. President Omar al-Bashir remains resilient despite continued discontent.

Cartel violence in Veracruz sees significant increase. Tensions between CJNG and local government likely to persist.

Elections in India. BJP’s simple majority unlikely to be achieved, increasing reliance on regional allies.

Ukrainian elections remain highly unpredictable. Relations with Moscow unlikely to change.

Arab states’ normalization with Syria. To continue in limited scope in effort to offset Iranian influence.