Geopolitical Predictive Analysis – November 2018

November 18

Eritrea: Lifting nine-year UN sanctions indicative of positive regional developments

Germany: Merkel, Seehofer resignations to increase domestic and regional political instability

Mexico: AMLO’s public security plan unlikely to be major policy shift

Sri Lanka: Ongoing parliamentary crisis to have economic, geopolitical ramifications

UAE: Local, regional factors adversely affect Dubai’s economy; difficulties unlikely to subside